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2024 Predictions
This is not a sabermetric piece (although a bare minimum of “sabermetric” considerations go into it, as described below). This is simply a fun exercise…
Mar 27
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2024 Predictions
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February 2024
Chickens, Eggs, & Sequencing
Bill James' Runs Created formula (and by extension, Win Shares) credits batters with an additional runs created for each hit and homer they hit with men…
Feb 19
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Chickens, Eggs, & Sequencing
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January 2024
TL;DR of OPS Being Bad
Such was the question posed by a Twitter user in a Tom Tango thread yesterday (well, the question was "What's the…”). My response was: (TB*PA …
Jan 5
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TL;DR of OPS Being Bad
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December 2023
Hitting by Position, 2023
The first obvious thing to look at is the positional totals for 2023, with the data coming from Baseball-Reference. "MLB” is the overall total for MLB…
Dec 22, 2023
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Hitting by Position, 2023
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Crude Team Ratings, 2023
Crude Team Rating (CTR) is my name for a simple methodology of ranking teams based on their win ratio (or estimated win ratio) and their opponents’ win…
Dec 4, 2023
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Crude Team Ratings, 2023
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November 2023
Hypothetical Award Ballots, 2023
I write these up not because I think I have any particular insight to share with an audience, but because I find it very interesting to read these years…
Nov 6, 2023
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Hypothetical Award Ballots, 2023
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October 2023
End of Season Statistics, 2023
The source data comes exclusively at this point from Baseball-Reference. I started doing this in 1996, at which time my process involved the Tuesday…
Oct 11, 2023
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End of Season Statistics, 2023
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Crude Playoff Odds, 2023
These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using a PW% based on runs created and runs created allowed weighted at…
Oct 2, 2023
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Crude Playoff Odds, 2023
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March 2023
2023 Predictions
This is not a sabermetric piece (although a bare minimum of “sabermetric” considerations go into it, as described below). This is simply a fun exercise…
Mar 29, 2023
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2023 Predictions
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December 2022
Rehashing Runs Created and OPS
I devoted far too many words in the first incarnation of Walk Like a Sabermetrician to discussing the properties of OPS, its relationship to team runs…
Dec 27, 2022
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Rehashing Runs Created and OPS
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Hitting by Position, 2022
The first obvious thing to look at is the positional totals for 2021, with the data coming from Baseball-Reference. "MLB” is the overall total for MLB…
Dec 19, 2022
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Hitting by Position, 2022
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November 2022
Crude Team Ratings, 2022
Crude Team Rating (CTR) is my name for a simple methodology of ranking teams based on their win ratio (or estimated win ratio) and their opponents’ win…
Nov 21, 2022
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Crude Team Ratings, 2022
walksaber.substack.com
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