Archive - Walk Like a Sabermetrician

2025 Predictions

This is not a sabermetric piece (although a bare minimum of “sabermetric” considerations go into it, as described below).

Mar 25 •

Pythagorean W% v. Same Year W%

A few years ago I published an article on estimating a team’s W% in the subsequent season using either their actual W%, Expected W% (EW%, Pythagenpat…

Mar 1 •

December 2024

Hitting by Position, 2024

The first obvious thing to look at is the positional totals for 2024, with the data coming from Baseball-Reference. "MLB” is the overall total for MLB…

Dec 16, 2024 •

November 2024

Crude Team Ratings, 2024

Crude Team Rating (CTR) is my name for a simple methodology of ranking teams based on their win ratio (or estimated win ratio) and their opponents’ win…

Nov 21, 2024 •

Statistical Meanderings, 2024

Below I share some observations from reviewing the “End of Season Statistics” I published in October.

Nov 11, 2024 •

Hypothetical Award Ballots, 2024

As I’ve explained previously, I post my hypothetical award ballots not because I think they are of any particular interest to anyone else, but rather as…

Nov 4, 2024 •

October 2024

End of Season Statistics, 2024

The source data comes exclusively at this point from Baseball-Reference. I started doing this in 1996, at which time my process involved the Tuesday…

Oct 9, 2024 •

Crude Playoff Odds, 2024

These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using a PW% based on runs created and runs created allowed weighted at…

Oct 1, 2024 •

March 2024

2024 Predictions

This is not a sabermetric piece (although a bare minimum of “sabermetric” considerations go into it, as described below).

Mar 27, 2024 •

February 2024

Chickens, Eggs, & Sequencing

Bill James' Runs Created formula (and by extension, Win Shares) credits batters with an additional runs created for each hit and homer they hit with men…

Feb 19, 2024 •

January 2024

TL;DR of OPS Being Bad

Such was the question posed by a Twitter user in a Tom Tango thread yesterday (well, the question was "What's the…”).

Jan 5, 2024 •

December 2023

Hitting by Position, 2023

The first obvious thing to look at is the positional totals for 2023, with the data coming from Baseball-Reference. "MLB” is the overall total for MLB…

Dec 22, 2023 •

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