Walk Like a Sabermetrician

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End of Season Statistics, 2024
The source data comes exclusively at this point from Baseball-Reference. I started doing this in 1996, at which time my process involved the Tuesday…
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Chickens, Eggs, & Sequencing
Bill James' Runs Created formula (and by extension, Win Shares) credits batters with an additional runs created for each hit and homer they hit with men…
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Rehashing Runs Created and OPS
I devoted far too many words in the first incarnation of Walk Like a Sabermetrician to discussing the properties of OPS, its relationship to team runs…
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Pilot
Welcome to the first post at the new home of Walk Like a Sabermetrician.
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TL;DR of OPS Being Bad
Such was the question posed by a Twitter user in a Tom Tango thread yesterday (well, the question was "What's the…”).
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End of Season Statistics, 2023
The source data comes exclusively at this point from Baseball-Reference. I started doing this in 1996, at which time my process involved the Tuesday…
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Toirtap
Pythagorean W% v. Same Year W%
A few years ago I published an article on estimating a team’s W% in the subsequent season using either their actual W%, Expected W% (EW%, Pythagenpat…
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2023 Predictions
This is not a sabermetric piece (although a bare minimum of “sabermetric” considerations go into it, as described below).
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2025 Predictions
This is not a sabermetric piece (although a bare minimum of “sabermetric” considerations go into it, as described below).
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Crude Team Ratings, 2024
Crude Team Rating (CTR) is my name for a simple methodology of ranking teams based on their win ratio (or estimated win ratio) and their opponents’ win…
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Crude Playoff Odds, 2024
These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using a PW% based on runs created and runs created allowed weighted at…
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Joy in Mudville?
I love baseball more than most people would think rational or wise, but I am usually not one to wax poetic about it.
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