Crude Playoff Odds, 2023
These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using a PW% based on runs created and runs created allowed weighted at 1.8, W% weighted at 1, and 69 games of .500. They account for home field advantage by assuming a .500 team wins 53.5% of home games (major league average 2010-2019). They assume that a team's inherent strength is constant from game-to-game. They do not generally account for any number of factors that you would actually want to account for if you were serious about this, including but not limited to injuries, the current construction of the team rather than the aggregate seasonal performance, pitching rotations, estimated true talent of the players, etc.
The CTRs that are fed in are:
Odds for the Wildcard Series:
Odds for the LDS:
Odds for the LCS:
Odds for the World Series:
Putting it all together: